Articles in press: this web page contains corrected
proofs of peer reviewed accepted articles to be published in regular
issues of MBI. Corrected proofs are articles containing the authors'
corrections and may, or may not yet have journal volume, issue and page
numbers assigned. Please be aware that although articles "in press" do
not have all bibliographic details available yet, they can already be
cited as follows:
Author(s) (2021), Article Title, Management of Biological Invasions (in press).
|
Letter to Management of Biological Invasions
|
|
Natalie M. Hull and Karl G. Linden
On applicability of a cell proliferation assay to examine DNA concentration of UV- and chlorine-treated organisms – a rebuttal of Molina et al. (2019) (in press) |
|
In their 2019 study, Molina et al. evaluate a cell proliferation assay that fluorescently quantifies DNA for assessing ballast water treatment
efficacy of organisms ≥ 10 to 50 µm. Because of concerns with the overall experimental design, procedures, and authors’ interpretations, their
conclusions do not appear to be justified and the assay used to arrive at those conclusions is not proven appropriate. Specific concerns we
highlight include UV and chlorine dose calculations and exposure conditions, bacterial contamination issues, poor agreement between controls,
high detection limit of the assay, and mismatch between conclusions in the abstract and statistical significance of the data. Their conclusions
that “population maintenance or growth was evident … after UV treatment” and “photoreactivation could have been attributed to increased mean
DNA concentrations” are therefore not scientifically defensible without further experimentation and verification. These concerns call into serious
question the use of this study by the US Coast Guard or other governing bodies to (1) determine the applicability of this cell proliferation assay
for assessing ballast water disinfection or (2) make conclusions regarding the suitability of UV treatment for inactivating organisms in ballast
water.
|
|
Research articles
|
|
Niels Jorgensen, James Leary, Mark Renz and Brooke Mahnken
Characterizing the suitable habitat of Miconia calvescens in the East Maui Watershed (in press) |
|
The East Maui Watershed (EMW) is a > 60,000-ha forested watershed with wide temperature and precipitation gradients being invaded by miconia
(Miconia calvescens DC.). Current miconia management efforts focus on protecting important watershed and critical habitat areas from miconia invasion.
Herein, we report on a miconia species distribution model to predict unoccupied areas that may be still vulnerable to invasion. This suitable habitat model
was developed from an ensemble of five algorithms associating five physical features of EMW with miconia occurrence data from a 26-yr management history
(1991–2016; n = 114,953). All of the algorithms performed well based on model evaluation statistics (e.g. AUC ≥ 0.83; TSS ≥ 0.36). Elevation, slope and rainfall
were consistently important predictors, while aspect indices were non-contributors. The binary ensemble model suggests a total of ~ 56.9% of the area of
interest is susceptible to invasion by miconia. An independent dataset collected in 2017–2018 (n = 5,222) was used to field validate the ensemble habitat
suitability model (EHSM) and found that the model could correctly predict suitable habitat 94% of the time. All five of the model algorithms were updated
using this new management data, and the predicted suitable area decreased 2.3%. While binary models are useful for risk assessment, the classification of
an area as suitable or not suitable has limitations for land managers adopting for management activities. Utilizing the mean weighted consensus probability
surface representation of the model allows for more scrutiny of potential suitable habitat. We suggest using this approach when planning future monitoring
efforts, especially if specific areas have a higher prioritization for conservation than others.
|
|
|
Gábor Vétek, Anthemis Melifronidou-Pantelidou, Despina Koukkoularidou and Angeliki Martinou
Initiation of a monitoring programme for early detection of Halyomorpha halys in Cyprus by using pheromone-baited traps and involving citizen science (in press) |
|
The invasive brown marmorated stink bug Halyomorpha halys is native to East Asia and was first detected in Switzerland, Europe in 2004.
It is now widespread throughout continental Europe and has recently been reported on several islands in the Mediterranean Sea. In the Eastern Mediterranean,
it has been recorded in Greece, Turkey and most probably Egypt, but there is no information regarding its occurrence in the Republic of Cyprus. Therefore, in September 2019,
a survey at potential points of entry and arrivals was carried out by setting pheromone traps of the pest in the vicinity of airports, harbours as well as next to importers’
trade warehouses in the country. This stink bug monitoring programme in September and October was completed with an awareness campaign, which consisted of the establishment
of a citizen science initiative for the early warning of this alien pest by disseminating an alert letter titled “Bug Alert Cyprus” in English and Greek to various target groups.
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first CS initiative in Cyprus focusing on the early detection of a polyphagous agricultural and nuisance pest.
The lack of H. halys captured during the trapping period, and the absence of reports from citizens seem to indicate that H. halys had not reached
this European island country up to January 2020. The methodology we applied and our further recommendations may foster further CS activities combined with targeted trappings
to give an early warning and enable the detection of H. halys as effectively as possible on European islands as well as on other remote or isolated parts of the world
not yet invaded by this pest.
|
|
|
Samantha N. Tank, Seth J. Herbst and Daniel B. Hayes
Evaluation of a qualitative survey for early detection monitoring of New Zealand mudsnail (in press) |
|
Early detection of an invasive species is the first critical step to managing their invasion. New Zealand mudsnails (Potamopyrgus antipodarum; hereafter NZMS)
are a small gastropod native to New Zealand and a documented worldwide invader. Although many approaches for sampling NZMS have been used, no protocol has emerged
as a standard for early detection monitoring in lotic environments. In order to document the occurrence of NZMS, we developed a qualitative sampling methodology
and evaluated its effectiveness. The sampling methodology involved conducting two searcher visual surveys along stream margins in a 50-meter search range for
a standard 20-minute search time. Qualitative estimates of abundance and the time when the first detection was made were documented by each searcher.
We conducted a total of 227 surveys in 12 rivers in Michigan, USA in 2017. Survey data were analyzed using an occupancy model framework, resulting in a per survey
detectability exceeding 96%. We ran the occupancy model in an atypical fashion to explore the impact that relative abundance had on detectability. As relative abundance
increased, detectability of NZMS increased. We modeled shorter survey durations (i.e., 15, 10, and 5 minutes) to determine their impact on detectability and found that
less than 2% of detections were lost when reducing the survey length from 20 to 5 minutes. We developed a novel decision support tool to help understand how the number
of sites surveyed, the site level detection probability, and the occupancy level of a rare species interact to determine the overall probability of detection of a new invader.
The decision support table can help guide sampling design choices by giving insight into what combination of choices provides the overall highest probability of detection
across all sites combined.
|
|
|
Carla Muller, Deborah Hofstra and Paul Champion
Eradication economics for invasive alien aquatic plants (in press) |
|
Although there is a sizeable budget for biosecurity management in New Zealand, there will never be sufficient resources to intervene in all incursions
of harmful species, including invasive freshwater plants. Given the inherent complexity in making decisions on interventions, responses are often decided
in relation to specific incursions as they happen within their particular context. This paper uses New Zealand case studies to test if there are general
economic principles related to intervention in invasive freshwater plants which can be used to improve decision-making. The general principles were;
the sooner eradication is started and/or the smaller the incursion size, the lower the cost will be; eradication is more expensive than alternative responses
in the short term but is cheaper than long term impacts of no intervention and/or ongoing control programs; and preventing new incursions is cheaper
in the long run than eradication. The three principles were considered to be logical in an economic sense and can contribute to supporting intervention
decision-making at a macro-level (i.e. across the majority of incursions) and provide more holistic outcomes for society in relation to management programs.
|
|
|
Eric T. Hileman, Danielle R. Bradke, Melia G. Nafus, Amy A. Yackel Adams and Robert N. Reed
Surface material and snout-vent length predict vertical scaling ability in brown treesnakes: an evaluation of multispecies barriers for invasive species control on Guam (in press) |
|
The combination of snake-proof barriers and an aerial toxicant-delivery system for snake suppression may allow large-scale control of invasive brown treesnakes
(Boiga irregularis) on Guam. However, suppression or local eradication of several other species (e.g., introduced ungulates, cats, rodents) may be required
for successful restoration and recovery of forest habitat and reintroduction of native fauna. Island-wide eradication of invasive species is unlikely on Guam,
and existing snake-proof barriers are largely ineffective against cats, rodents, shrews, or monitor lizards. Improved barrier technology and pest-control tools
may together provide a viable solution to support localized restoration of species and habitats. We designed and tested prototype multispecies barriers using
materials known to repel ungulates, cats, and rodents, with a focus on testing the ability of a rolled hood installed over three different mesh designs
to repel brown treesnakes and black rats (Rattus rattus). Woven wire (4.9 × 12 mm aperture, 2.5 mm dia. wire) repelled 99.1% of all snakes,
including ≥ 1031 breach attempts by 106 individuals and 2 successful breaches by 1 small individual. Woven wire (6 × 6 mm aperture, 2.7 mm dia. wire) repelled
100% of all snakes, including 611 breach attempts by 65 individuals. Mini chain link mesh (7 × 9 mm aperture, 1 mm dia. wire) repelled 100% of all snakes,
including 1053 breach attempts by 97 individuals. Brown treesnakes were unable to climb either of the two woven wire designs (1642 breach attempts
by 171 individuals), making the rolled hood serve as a redundant secondary snake barrier. The rolled hood repelled 100% of all snakes when individuals
were provided a climbable surface to access the hood (94 breach attempts by 39 snakes). The probability of a snake being able to climb the mini chain
link mesh was inversely related to snout-vent length. The rolled hood repelled 100% of all rats, with 5080 breach attempts by 21 individuals. Recommended
next steps include consultation with engineers to address wind loading, structural integrity, material interactions, and integration of decision-support
tools to optimize cost and efficacy of barrier designs on the landscape.
|
|
|
|